Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 78166.318918 82559.005267 86951.910196 91671.474079 96595.282262 101577.442870 106996.455387
2025-01-12 70304.258450 76981.720214 83849.422653 91430.652588 99554.681630 107988.982889 117397.147873
2025-01-19 64664.646864 72869.942061 81498.406246 91227.582244 101871.535260 113141.286415 125954.461531
2025-01-26 61573.165128 71050.791307 81200.477882 92844.149024 105797.020940 119728.410016 135809.008577
2025-02-02 59104.772732 69630.463815 81082.696692 94417.864859 109466.110585 125868.710120 145045.125894
2025-02-09 56507.607375 67846.313249 80362.885871 95135.464656 112021.708090 130648.782813 152674.520061
2025-02-16 53747.152010 65694.515914 79063.006872 95040.666825 113523.277388 134136.514865 158765.463489
2025-02-23 51642.095408 64170.439416 78364.946239 95525.990769 115593.695631 138198.248430 165460.299202
2025-03-02 49518.131918 62509.695442 77405.236919 95611.357633 117119.931037 141574.691598 171327.346492
2025-03-09 48213.745762 61748.015830 77435.155106 96799.557025 119888.703438 146361.737893 178823.196261
2025-03-16 46136.258585 59962.847696 76166.505981 96369.680943 120683.769820 148796.624125 183539.422120
2025-03-23 45144.343288 59449.623610 76379.748260 97676.820204 123518.423021 153619.089437 191074.133500
2025-03-30 43920.469656 58626.238064 76206.888016 98523.924527 125830.295278 157876.610315 198029.858880
2025-04-06 42366.937829 57336.926491 75417.675918 98580.931901 127161.840149 160956.954861 203595.316168
2025-04-13 40812.154260 55987.522729 74501.695995 98433.858237 128206.163788 163667.677188 208708.769363
2025-04-20 40255.613803 55881.869527 75113.800468 100167.698393 131556.432786 169178.514532 217238.740461
2025-04-27 39712.692047 55765.717286 75691.183705 101843.937197 134832.693118 174610.988715 225705.063947
2025-05-04 38789.502232 55118.758678 75564.645245 102607.395419 136956.136588 178628.519902 232454.196480
2025-05-11 37533.421574 53991.831175 74785.740005 102506.809392 137968.075259 181259.774386 237494.721999
2025-05-18 36610.441121 53274.744159 74507.264218 103022.644094 139742.002319 184830.264966 243706.871290
2025-05-25 35554.096337 52344.485744 73920.692638 103113.376170 140954.806432 187690.817136 249038.827887
2025-06-01 35034.768919 52120.805965 74244.502775 104376.043342 143664.569032 192436.907243 256753.604488
2025-06-08 33843.637884 50944.343138 73277.183794 103919.247861 144136.462230 194347.247703 260900.791091